Content » Vol 45, Issue 2

Original report

Predictive factors for disability outcome at twenty weeks and two years following a pain self-management group intervention in patients with persistent neck pain in primary health care

Catharina Gustavsson, Jakob Bergström, Eva Denison, Lena von Koch
Center for Clinical Research Dalarna, Department of Public Health and Caring Sciences, Nissers väg 3, SE-79182 Falun, Sweden. E-mail:
DOI: 10.2340/16501977-1083


Objective: To explore possible predictors associated with short-term (post-treatment) and long-term (2 years) treatment success in terms of pain-related disability for patients with persistent neck pain following a pain and stress self-management intervention (PASS).
Methods: Data from 77 participants assigned to PASS in a randomized controlled trial were explored to identify possible predictors of favourable outcome regarding pain-related disability as measured by the Neck Disability Index (NDI), by use of Pearson correlation analysis, partial least squares (PLS) and ordinary least squares (OLS) regression analyses. Data from self-assessment questionnaires completed by the participants before, post-treatment (i. e. 20 weeks after inclusion) and 2 years after inclusion in the study, were used.
Results: Multivariate PLS regression analysis showed that baseline scores in NDI, the Self-Efficacy Scale (SES) and pain intensity explained 31% of the variance in disability (NDI) post-treatment. Multivariate PLS regression analysis showed that post-treatment scores in NDI, SES and pain intensity explained 68% of the variance in disability (NDI) at 2 years.
Conclusion: Treatment gains, as measured by post-treatment scores at 20-week follow-up, in disability, self-efficacy and pain intensity were associated with long-term outcome in pain-related disability at 2 years, in patients with persistent neck pain participating in a self-management group intervention in primary health care.

Lay Abstract


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